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Bitcoin outflow from Grayscale's fund exceeds $5 billion

23 Jan, 2024 3 min read
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The emergency of spot Bitcoin ETFs in the US is putting downward pressure on the crypto. The conversion of Grayscale's trust fund into a Bitcoin ETF, with over 620,000 BTC worth $28.6 billion as of the transformation date, was one of the key reasons.

Image source: ycharts.com

Now, the GBTC fund has $23.5 billion in its piggy bank. The outflow amounted to $5.1 billion or 18% over ten days.

Image source: etfs.grayscale.com

Last June, the discount on the fund's shares relative to the underlying asset was over 40%, but after Grayscale won its appeal against the SEC, it rallied sharply. Savvy players started buying up the fund's shares, investing about $3 billion.

Image source: ycharts.com

This amount can be considered non-refundable, meaning it isn't driven by interest in Bitcoin directly but only by a desire to profit from the reduction in the discount due to the upcoming conversion.

Image source: StormGain Cryptocurrency Exchange

The rest of the outflow volume is due to the GBTC's high fees for fund management. The fees are way higher than competitors', coming in at 1.5% versus 0.2%-0.5% (excluding the free period). Note: Hashdex doesn't count because they were approved for a futures ETF, not a spot ETF.

Image source: cointelegraph.com

Grayscale CEO Michael Sonnenschein, defending the high fees, has said there is a risk of bankruptcy for most spot ETFs over the long run. He was supported by Quantum Economics founder Mati Greenspan: "Having a dozen ETFs for one asset is pretty ridiculous."

Based on the last six days, inflows into exchange-traded funds still exceed outflows from Grayscale by $1.1 billion.

Image source: twitter.com/EricBalchunas

However, this data doesn't consider outflows from futures ETFs of more than $3 billion since the launch of spot ones. Futures funds are more burdensome for investors due to losses when switching from contract to contract. 

The dynamics of exchange-traded products are turning negative, which hurts Bitcoin. Miners also contributed, sending $5 billion worth of Bitcoin to crypto exchanges in the first three days after the launch of ETFs (read more here).


StormGain Analytical Group 
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